Every game on the slate, one row each. Highlighted rows are the ones where the systems' average clears your threshold against the market.
⚠ KyModel is fully experimental — a separate, unproven project shown for reference only. Don't use it to make bets.
| FBS Spreads | FBS Totals | FBS vs FCS Spreads | FBS vs FCS Totals | FCS Spreads | FCS Totals | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | |
| Sagarin | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | ||||||
| PiRate | no data yet | no data | no data | — | no data yet | no data | no data | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| TR | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | ||||||
| SP+ | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | ||||||
| David Sasser | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Slate Index | — | no data yet | no data | no data | — | no data yet | no data | no data | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| KyModel | — | no data yet | no data | no data | — | no data yet | no data | no data | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Keeper | — | — | — | — | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | ||||||||||||||
| Bucket | N | Record | Hit % |
|---|---|---|---|
| FBS Spreads | 0 | 0-0 | — |
| FBS Totals | 0 | 0-0 | — |
| FBS vs FCS Spreads | 0 | 0-0 | — |
| FBS vs FCS Totals | 0 | 0-0 | — |
| FCS Spreads | 0 | 0-0 | — |
| FCS Totals | 0 | 0-0 | — |
| All flagged plays | 0 | 0-0 | — |
Line is shown from Away Team perspective — a +10.5 means away team is a 10.5 pt underdog
| Kickoff | Game | Sagarin | PiRate | TR | SP+ | David Sasser | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | Brigham Young @ Colorado St | — | −34.60 | −24.54 | −24.00 | −19.15 | −25.57 | −17.50 | −8.07 | Brigham Young −17.5 |
| Fri 9/18 8:00PM ET | Houston @ Texas Tech | — | +11.50 | +19.51 | +16.90 | +8.97 | +14.22 | +7.50 | +6.72 | Texas Tech −7.5 |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Georgia St @ Central Florida | — | +27.00 | +21.60 | +33.50 | +18.68 | +25.20 | +18.50 | +6.70 | Central Florida −18.5 |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Ohio U. @ South Alabama | — | +0.50 | −1.18 | −0.30 | +2.43 | +0.36 | +6.50 | −6.14 | Ohio U. +6.5 |
| Sat 9/19 12:45PM ET | North Carolina St @ Vanderbilt | — | +7.40 | +11.84 | +10.00 | +7.14 | +9.10 | +3.50 | +5.60 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | North Texas @ Texas St-San Marcos | — | −5.10 | −16.39 | +12.00 | −1.68 | −2.79 | +2.50 | −5.29 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Nevada @ Middle Tennessee St | — | −11.40 | −4.57 | −12.30 | −6.76 | −8.76 | −3.50 | −5.26 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | North Carolina @ Clemson | — | +12.30 | +12.39 | +7.50 | +1.62 | +8.45 | +3.50 | +4.95 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | UTEP @ Michigan | — | +50.80 | +33.03 | +38.80 | +34.71 | +39.33 | +34.50 | +4.83 | no play |
| Thu 9/17 7:30PM ET | Syracuse @ Pittsburgh | — | +13.30 | +19.84 | +10.60 | +13.42 | +14.29 | +9.50 | +4.79 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | West Virginia @ Virginia | — | +12.30 | +16.27 | +17.00 | +15.19 | +15.19 | +10.50 | +4.69 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | LSU @ Mississippi | — | +2.70 | +7.19 | −1.40 | −4.56 | +0.98 | −3.50 | +4.48 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Tulane @ Kansas St | — | +18.60 | +11.39 | +16.00 | +18.17 | +16.04 | +20.50 | −4.46 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Southern Cal @ Rutgers | — | −23.70 | −20.11 | −10.40 | −22.53 | −19.19 | −23.50 | +4.31 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Kentucky @ Texas A&M | — | +23.90 | +19.96 | +18.20 | +21.08 | +20.78 | +16.50 | +4.28 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Miami OH @ Cincinnati | — | +24.50 | +18.90 | +9.50 | +21.97 | +18.72 | +14.50 | +4.22 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | UNC-Charlotte @ Appalachian St | — | +7.40 | +14.64 | +13.90 | +17.45 | +13.35 | +17.50 | −4.15 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Florida St @ Alabama | — | +17.50 | +13.41 | +12.20 | +18.35 | +15.36 | +19.50 | −4.14 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 11:00PM ET | Purdue @ UCLA | — | +12.40 | +8.65 | +10.10 | +10.37 | +10.38 | +14.50 | −4.12 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Georgia @ Arkansas | — | −23.60 | −14.70 | −18.30 | −25.33 | −20.48 | −24.50 | +4.02 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Louisiana Tech @ Baylor | — | +21.70 | +10.85 | +15.40 | +15.04 | +15.75 | +19.50 | −3.75 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Texas-San Antonio @ Texas | — | +32.00 | +17.90 | +26.40 | +31.51 | +26.95 | +30.50 | −3.55 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Arizona St @ Kansas | — | −4.90 | −3.26 | +0.90 | −1.40 | −2.17 | −5.50 | +3.33 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:15PM ET | Mississippi St @ South Carolina | — | +9.10 | +3.62 | +10.30 | +4.26 | +6.82 | +3.50 | +3.32 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | Colorado @ Northwestern | — | +9.20 | +8.67 | +6.90 | +2.26 | +6.76 | +3.50 | +3.26 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:45PM ET | Kennesaw St @ Tennessee | — | +39.90 | +24.23 | +32.70 | +32.28 | +32.28 | +35.50 | −3.22 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 11:00PM ET | Fresno St @ San Jose St | — | −14.50 | −9.06 | −6.80 | −8.13 | −9.62 | −6.50 | −3.12 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 10:30PM ET | North Dakota St @ Sacramento St | — | −24.50 | −20.69 | −23.30 | −29.35 | −24.46 | −27.50 | +3.04 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Bowling Green @ Iowa St | — | +34.20 | +29.77 | +17.10 | +24.05 | +26.28 | +23.50 | +2.78 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Florida @ Auburn | — | −2.80 | +5.45 | −1.20 | −0.50 | +0.24 | −2.50 | +2.74 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:30PM ET | Marshall @ Missouri St | — | −4.20 | +1.92 | −8.40 | +3.34 | −1.84 | −4.50 | +2.66 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Akron @ Minnesota | — | +35.80 | +18.87 | +31.60 | +17.93 | +26.05 | +23.50 | +2.55 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | Virginia Tech @ Maryland | — | −1.30 | +3.60 | −0.90 | −1.38 | +0.01 | −2.50 | +2.51 | no play |
| Fri 9/18 7:30PM ET | Miami FL @ Wake Forest | — | −19.80 | −17.98 | −16.10 | −18.10 | −17.99 | −20.50 | +2.51 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Stanford @ Duke | — | +12.70 | +14.89 | +5.20 | +15.17 | +11.99 | +9.50 | +2.49 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Western Michigan @ Rice | — | −14.20 | −14.01 | −6.80 | −12.63 | −11.91 | −9.50 | −2.41 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Alabama-Birmingham @ Louisiana-Lafayette | — | +8.00 | +7.93 | +9.40 | +14.01 | +9.83 | +7.50 | +2.33 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | East Carolina @ Old Dominion | — | +1.10 | +0.51 | −2.10 | +1.74 | +0.31 | +2.50 | −2.19 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Buffalo @ Penn State | — | +47.30 | +39.18 | +31.40 | +35.57 | +38.36 | +40.50 | −2.14 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 10:30PM ET | Northern Illinois @ Arizona | — | +39.50 | +33.97 | +29.20 | +26.80 | +32.37 | +34.50 | −2.13 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Ball St @ Liberty | — | +14.20 | +12.46 | +22.30 | +16.91 | +16.47 | +14.50 | +1.97 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Florida Int'l @ Florida Atlantic | — | +6.90 | −1.08 | +10.90 | +2.56 | +4.82 | +6.50 | −1.68 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 11:30AM ET | Coastal Carolina @ Delaware | — | +4.60 | +7.42 | +4.30 | +8.27 | +6.15 | +4.50 | +1.65 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 10:00PM ET | James Madison @ San Diego St | — | +4.80 | −5.41 | +4.10 | +0.63 | +1.03 | +2.50 | −1.47 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:30PM ET | Eastern Michigan @ Wisconsin | — | +30.40 | +21.74 | +16.90 | +23.43 | +23.12 | +24.50 | −1.38 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | New Mexico @ Oklahoma | — | +27.70 | +18.66 | +21.30 | +17.34 | +21.25 | +22.50 | −1.25 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Utah St @ Utah | — | +31.70 | +28.80 | +20.20 | +24.58 | +26.32 | +27.50 | −1.18 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Troy @ Missouri | — | +34.70 | +25.90 | +25.90 | +23.28 | +27.45 | +26.50 | +0.95 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Arkansas St @ TCU | — | +25.10 | +21.54 | +20.60 | +18.21 | +21.36 | +20.50 | +0.86 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Georgia Southern @ Jacksonville St | — | +0.50 | +4.57 | +3.60 | +2.37 | +2.76 | +3.50 | −0.74 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | SMU @ Louisville | — | +0.80 | +0.90 | +1.50 | +0.60 | +0.95 | +1.50 | −0.55 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | Michigan St @ Notre Dame | — | +33.70 | +28.06 | +26.80 | +27.43 | +29.00 | +29.50 | −0.50 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Kent St @ Ohio State | — | +58.70 | +50.84 | +57.60 | +40.87 | +52.00 | +52.50 | −0.50 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Wyoming @ Central Michigan | — | +2.70 | +1.83 | −1.80 | +1.31 | +1.01 | +1.50 | −0.49 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:00PM ET | Temple @ Toledo | — | +0.30 | +13.37 | +2.50 | +5.35 | +5.38 | +5.50 | −0.12 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Western Kentucky @ Indiana | — | +56.60 | +45.31 | +35.60 | +40.29 | +44.45 | +44.50 | −0.05 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Connecticut @ Southern Miss | — | −5.40 | −1.98 | −6.30 | −0.46 | −3.53 | −3.50 | −0.03 | no play |
| Kickoff | Game | TR | SP+ | Slate Index | Sagarin | David Sasser | KyModel | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/19 12:45PM ET | North Carolina St @ Vanderbilt | 72.80 | 56.30 | 61.30 | — | 51.94 | — | 60.59 | 50.50 | +10.09 | Over 50.5 |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Florida @ Auburn | 33.00 | 46.50 | 49.50 | — | 48.35 | — | 44.34 | 53.50 | −9.16 | Under 53.5 |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | North Texas @ Texas St-San Marcos | 85.80 | 63.70 | 78.50 | — | 61.12 | — | 72.28 | 63.50 | +8.78 | Over 63.5 |
| Fri 9/18 7:30PM ET | Miami FL @ Wake Forest | 30.80 | 48.20 | 54.30 | — | 55.51 | — | 47.20 | 55.50 | −8.30 | Under 55.5 |
| Sat 9/19 6:30PM ET | Marshall @ Missouri St | 68.90 | 56.90 | 59.50 | — | 55.93 | — | 60.31 | 52.50 | +7.81 | Over 52.5 |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | LSU @ Mississippi | 46.10 | 51.00 | 59.20 | — | 51.84 | — | 52.03 | 58.50 | −6.47 | Under 58.5 |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | Michigan St @ Notre Dame | 63.10 | 53.60 | 54.60 | — | 60.34 | — | 57.91 | 52.50 | +5.41 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:15PM ET | Mississippi St @ South Carolina | 49.70 | 53.30 | 58.20 | — | 52.44 | — | 53.41 | 58.50 | −5.09 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 10:30PM ET | North Dakota St @ Sacramento St | 57.30 | 51.10 | 58.60 | — | 54.20 | — | 55.30 | 50.50 | +4.80 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Georgia @ Arkansas | 55.10 | 57.60 | 65.30 | — | 58.99 | — | 59.25 | 54.50 | +4.75 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | Colorado @ Northwestern | 31.20 | 48.60 | 44.00 | — | 51.50 | — | 43.82 | 48.50 | −4.68 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | Virginia Tech @ Maryland | 42.20 | 51.20 | 51.60 | — | 50.43 | — | 48.86 | 53.50 | −4.64 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Connecticut @ Southern Miss | 64.20 | 54.50 | 61.20 | — | 56.11 | — | 59.00 | 54.50 | +4.50 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Tulane @ Kansas St | 62.10 | 52.30 | 49.40 | — | 51.65 | — | 53.86 | 49.50 | +4.36 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Louisiana Tech @ Baylor | 53.00 | 56.10 | 64.00 | — | 53.63 | — | 56.68 | 52.50 | +4.18 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | East Carolina @ Old Dominion | 28.40 | 48.80 | 54.40 | — | 49.68 | — | 45.32 | 49.50 | −4.18 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Alabama-Birmingham @ Louisiana-Lafayette | 59.80 | 59.10 | 65.90 | — | 57.75 | — | 60.64 | 56.50 | +4.14 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | SMU @ Louisville | 56.00 | 52.80 | 59.50 | — | 53.54 | — | 55.46 | 59.50 | −4.04 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Ball St @ Liberty | 53.40 | 52.40 | 52.60 | — | 55.68 | — | 53.52 | 49.50 | +4.02 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Ohio U. @ South Alabama | 54.60 | 49.80 | 56.20 | — | 53.40 | — | 53.50 | 49.50 | +4.00 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Utah St @ Utah | 72.40 | 53.50 | 57.10 | — | 58.21 | — | 60.30 | 56.50 | +3.80 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Georgia St @ Central Florida | 59.60 | 51.60 | 50.50 | — | 55.48 | — | 54.29 | 50.50 | +3.79 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 10:30PM ET | Northern Illinois @ Arizona | 37.20 | 49.70 | 46.10 | — | 49.83 | — | 45.71 | 49.50 | −3.79 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | UNC-Charlotte @ Appalachian St | 48.70 | 54.20 | 56.30 | — | 61.26 | — | 55.12 | 51.50 | +3.62 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Bowling Green @ Iowa St | 53.30 | 44.30 | 46.20 | — | 48.65 | — | 48.11 | 44.50 | +3.61 | no play |
| Thu 9/17 7:30PM ET | Syracuse @ Pittsburgh | 63.40 | 50.60 | 58.20 | — | 47.04 | — | 54.81 | 51.50 | +3.31 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 11:30AM ET | Coastal Carolina @ Delaware | 68.70 | 57.00 | 59.60 | — | 56.98 | — | 60.57 | 57.50 | +3.07 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Florida St @ Alabama | 54.20 | 48.20 | 54.10 | — | 49.56 | — | 51.51 | 48.50 | +3.01 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Arizona St @ Kansas | 52.30 | 52.70 | 58.70 | — | 50.27 | — | 53.49 | 50.50 | +2.99 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Georgia Southern @ Jacksonville St | 53.30 | 55.10 | 57.00 | — | 55.83 | — | 55.31 | 52.50 | +2.81 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Troy @ Missouri | 58.90 | 51.00 | 51.20 | — | 51.88 | — | 53.25 | 50.50 | +2.75 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Nevada @ Middle Tennessee St | 51.50 | 51.10 | 53.50 | — | 55.09 | — | 52.80 | 50.50 | +2.30 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:00PM ET | Temple @ Toledo | 58.60 | 51.70 | 49.90 | — | 50.65 | — | 52.71 | 50.50 | +2.21 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | West Virginia @ Virginia | 50.10 | 49.40 | 53.90 | — | 52.26 | — | 51.42 | 53.50 | −2.08 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:45PM ET | Kennesaw St @ Tennessee | 70.70 | 56.80 | 59.60 | — | 59.10 | — | 61.55 | 59.50 | +2.05 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Kent St @ Ohio State | 63.50 | 53.20 | 58.20 | — | 55.56 | — | 57.62 | 59.50 | −1.88 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Florida Int'l @ Florida Atlantic | 67.30 | 59.20 | 59.60 | — | 56.44 | — | 60.64 | 62.50 | −1.86 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | Brigham Young @ Colorado St | 46.50 | 49.00 | 53.60 | — | 54.11 | — | 50.80 | 52.50 | −1.70 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 10:00PM ET | James Madison @ San Diego St | 42.00 | 50.60 | 50.10 | — | 49.74 | — | 48.11 | 46.50 | +1.61 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Western Michigan @ Rice | 37.50 | 46.50 | 47.80 | — | 47.79 | — | 44.90 | 43.50 | +1.40 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Western Kentucky @ Indiana | 58.30 | 54.70 | 58.80 | — | 64.72 | — | 59.13 | 60.50 | −1.37 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:30PM ET | Eastern Michigan @ Wisconsin | 44.70 | 44.90 | 39.90 | — | 47.75 | — | 44.31 | 45.50 | −1.19 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Wyoming @ Central Michigan | 26.30 | 43.30 | 43.90 | — | 48.87 | — | 40.59 | 39.50 | +1.09 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Akron @ Minnesota | 54.00 | 45.80 | 44.90 | — | 48.99 | — | 48.42 | 49.50 | −1.08 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 11:00PM ET | Fresno St @ San Jose St | 48.20 | 48.10 | 51.30 | — | 50.17 | — | 49.44 | 50.50 | −1.06 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Arkansas St @ TCU | 60.80 | 54.60 | 55.20 | — | 51.54 | — | 55.54 | 56.50 | −0.96 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:30PM ET | New Mexico @ Oklahoma | 41.30 | 48.40 | 52.80 | — | 47.22 | — | 47.43 | 46.50 | +0.93 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Texas-San Antonio @ Texas | 51.60 | 56.80 | 64.90 | — | 57.35 | — | 57.66 | 58.50 | −0.84 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | North Carolina @ Clemson | 39.10 | 45.60 | 47.50 | — | 45.09 | — | 44.32 | 43.50 | +0.82 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Kentucky @ Texas A&M | 40.80 | 51.40 | 53.40 | — | 53.14 | — | 49.68 | 50.50 | −0.82 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Miami OH @ Cincinnati | 48.80 | 50.10 | 49.30 | — | 53.03 | — | 50.31 | 49.50 | +0.81 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Stanford @ Duke | 49.10 | 53.30 | 57.50 | — | 49.18 | — | 52.27 | 51.50 | +0.77 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | UTEP @ Michigan | 47.90 | 48.20 | 51.50 | — | 49.40 | — | 49.25 | 49.50 | −0.25 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 11:00PM ET | Purdue @ UCLA | 54.00 | 53.00 | 52.80 | — | 53.46 | — | 53.31 | 53.50 | −0.19 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Buffalo @ Penn State | 49.90 | 47.60 | 49.60 | — | 50.37 | — | 49.37 | 49.50 | −0.13 | no play |
| Fri 9/18 8:00PM ET | Houston @ Texas Tech | 51.70 | 53.10 | 54.80 | — | 49.90 | — | 52.38 | 52.50 | −0.12 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Southern Cal @ Rutgers | 63.40 | 58.80 | 60.40 | — | 55.55 | — | 59.54 | 59.50 | +0.04 | no play |
KyModel (dashed underline = reference only):
A separate structural pace × efficiency totals model (CollegeFootballData-based, own Off EPA/Def EPA/pace ratings, HFA baked into the margin not the total) — shown alongside TR/SP+ for comparison but deliberately excluded from Avg, since it lives in its own project (CFB-Board/cfb_totals.py) and was never wired into this pipeline's vote system. FBS-only: its ratings come from CFBD's advanced-stats endpoint, which doesn't cover FCS, so it shows — on every game in the "FBS vs FCS" section below (see that section's own note).
|
Crossover games (one FBS team, one FCS team) — split out from FBS · Spreads 2026-09-20 so a lopsided-skill mismatch doesn't drag down the true FBS-vs-FBS numbers above. Same voters, same market feed, just its own bucket. Line is shown from Away Team perspective — a +10.5 means away team is a 10.5 pt underdog
| Kickoff | Game | Sagarin | PiRate | TR | SP+ | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Murray St @ Oklahoma St | — | +35.00 | +31.04 | +53.50 | +39.85 | +55.50 | −15.65 | Murray St +55.5 |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Mercer @ Georgia Tech | — | +25.00 | +26.90 | +21.00 | +24.30 | +39.50 | −15.20 | Mercer +39.5 |
| Sat 9/19 11:00PM ET | Montana @ Oregon St | — | +2.00 | +1.05 | +6.30 | +3.12 | +17.50 | −14.38 | Montana +17.5 |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Stonehill @ Massachusetts | — | +20.50 | +15.55 | +22.50 | +19.52 | +33.50 | −13.98 | Stonehill +33.5 |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | East Texas A&M @ Tulsa | — | +27.00 | +23.66 | +40.50 | +30.39 | +42.50 | −12.11 | East Texas A&M +42.5 |
| — | SE Louisiana @ Louisiana-Monroe | — | +4.70 | −3.58 | +2.20 | +1.11 | +11.50 | −10.39 | SE Louisiana +11.5 |
| Sat 9/19 2:00PM ET | Southern Illinois @ Illinois | — | +27.20 | +29.38 | +31.10 | +29.23 | +39.50 | −10.27 | Southern Illinois +39.5 |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Nicholls St @ Sam Houston St | — | +10.90 | +7.19 | +16.70 | +11.60 | +18.50 | −6.90 | Nicholls St +18.5 |
| Fri 9/18 10:30PM ET | Portland St @ Oregon | — | +52.40 | +61.96 | +71.70 | +62.02 | +56.50 | +5.52 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Northern Iowa @ Iowa | — | +36.90 | +45.49 | +44.40 | +42.26 | +38.50 | +3.76 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:15PM ET | North Dakota @ Nebraska | — | +22.10 | +17.42 | +23.10 | +20.87 | +24.50 | −3.63 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 2:00PM ET | Maine @ Boston College | — | +29.70 | +29.32 | +44.40 | +34.47 | +37.50 | −3.03 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 10:00PM ET | South Dakota @ Boise St | — | +21.00 | +25.43 | +18.80 | +21.74 | +24.50 | −2.76 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Tennessee-Martin @ Memphis | — | +30.20 | +34.89 | +34.10 | +33.06 | +35.50 | −2.44 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:15PM ET | Eastern Washington @ Washington | — | +36.40 | +44.43 | +44.90 | +41.91 | +42.50 | −0.59 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Duquesne @ Washington St | — | +32.40 | +41.92 | +42.00 | +38.77 | +38.50 | +0.27 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Delaware St @ South Florida | — | +33.20 | +47.15 | +32.80 | +37.72 | +37.50 | +0.22 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Wagner @ California | — | +41.50 | +44.79 | +51.90 | +46.06 | — | — | no play |
| Kickoff | Game | TR | SP+ | Slate Index | Sagarin | KyModel | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Murray St @ Oklahoma St | 53.70 | 53.00 | — | — | — | 53.35 | 70.50 | −17.15 | Under 70.5 |
| Sat 9/19 10:00PM ET | South Dakota @ Boise St | 68.70 | 59.00 | — | — | — | 63.85 | 55.50 | +8.35 | Over 55.5 |
| Sat 9/19 11:00PM ET | Montana @ Oregon St | 68.10 | 53.00 | — | — | — | 60.55 | 52.50 | +8.05 | Over 52.5 |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Stonehill @ Massachusetts | 41.30 | 44.00 | — | — | — | 42.65 | 49.50 | −6.85 | Under 49.5 |
| Sat 9/19 7:15PM ET | North Dakota @ Nebraska | 53.50 | 61.00 | — | — | — | 57.25 | 50.50 | +6.75 | Over 50.5 |
| — | SE Louisiana @ Louisiana-Monroe | 28.10 | 54.00 | — | — | — | 41.05 | 47.50 | −6.45 | Under 47.5 |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Northern Iowa @ Iowa | 36.80 | 50.00 | — | — | — | 43.40 | 48.50 | −5.10 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:15PM ET | Eastern Washington @ Washington | 51.30 | 55.00 | — | — | — | 53.15 | 57.50 | −4.35 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Nicholls St @ Sam Houston St | 54.00 | 55.00 | — | — | — | 54.50 | 50.50 | +4.00 | no play |
| Fri 9/18 10:30PM ET | Portland St @ Oregon | 72.40 | 72.00 | — | — | — | 72.20 | 68.50 | +3.70 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Duquesne @ Washington St | 52.20 | 48.00 | — | — | — | 50.10 | 53.50 | −3.40 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Delaware St @ South Florida | 65.00 | 52.00 | — | — | — | 58.50 | 61.50 | −3.00 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Tennessee-Martin @ Memphis | 51.90 | 56.00 | — | — | — | 53.95 | 56.50 | −2.55 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Mercer @ Georgia Tech | 75.70 | 49.00 | — | — | — | 62.35 | 60.50 | +1.85 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 2:00PM ET | Maine @ Boston College | 55.90 | 48.00 | — | — | — | 51.95 | 53.50 | −1.55 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 2:00PM ET | Southern Illinois @ Illinois | 53.40 | 57.00 | — | — | — | 55.20 | 54.50 | +0.70 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | East Texas A&M @ Tulsa | 60.20 | 54.00 | — | — | — | 57.10 | 56.50 | +0.60 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Wagner @ California | 66.10 | 52.00 | — | — | — | 59.05 | — | — | no play |
| Slate Index & KyModel: Neither covers crossover games at all in real data checked so far (0 matches) — Slate Index's real game list doesn't include them, and KyModel's ratings (CFBD's advanced-stats endpoint) don't cover FCS teams. Both still appear here rather than being silently dropped from the section, so every row shows an honest — instead of the column just not existing. |
Line is shown from Away Team perspective — a +10.5 means away team is a 10.5 pt underdog
| Kickoff | Game | Keeper | Sagarin | SP+ | TR | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | West Georgia @ East Tennessee St | +8.55 | — | +4.40 | +3.77 | +5.57 | +17.50 | −11.93 | West Georgia +17.5 |
| Sat 9/19 2:30PM ET | Presbyterian @ Western Carolina | +28.50 | — | +17.50 | +13.23 | +19.74 | +29.50 | −9.76 | Presbyterian +29.5 |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Northwestern St @ Weber St | — | — | +23.20 | +25.11 | +24.16 | +33.50 | −9.34 | Northwestern St +33.5 |
| Sat 9/19 2:00PM ET | Southern Utah @ St Thomas MN | −1.94 | — | — | −8.52 | −5.23 | −14.50 | +9.27 | St Thomas MN +14.5 |
| Sat 9/19 3:00PM ET | Pennsylvania @ Bucknell | −13.82 | — | — | −10.15 | −11.98 | −3.50 | −8.48 | Pennsylvania −3.5 |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Lafayette @ Columbia | −0.11 | — | −11.00 | −6.23 | −5.78 | +2.50 | −8.28 | Lafayette +2.5 |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Alcorn St @ North Alabama | +6.34 | — | +2.90 | +7.03 | +5.42 | +13.50 | −8.08 | Alcorn St +13.5 |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | San Diego @ Cal Poly SLO | +19.91 | — | −2.80 | +14.23 | +10.45 | +18.50 | −8.05 | San Diego +18.5 |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Sacred Heart @ Elon | −6.15 | — | +18.50 | +10.31 | +7.55 | +12.50 | −4.95 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Dayton @ Eastern Kentucky | +7.15 | — | −1.70 | +11.43 | +5.63 | +10.50 | −4.87 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | North Carolina Centr @ Gardner-Webb | +16.23 | — | −0.60 | +9.26 | +8.30 | +3.50 | +4.80 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Stephen F. Austin @ Prairie View A&M | −11.66 | — | −13.60 | −13.01 | −12.76 | −17.50 | +4.74 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Harvard @ New Hampshire | −17.09 | — | −9.20 | −9.87 | −12.05 | −16.50 | +4.45 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Abilene Christian @ Idaho | −6.43 | — | −4.00 | −4.26 | −4.90 | −0.50 | −4.40 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Georgetown DC @ Richmond | +10.19 | — | +23.60 | +13.14 | +15.64 | +11.50 | +4.14 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Cornell NY @ Colgate | +13.61 | — | +7.30 | +7.78 | +9.56 | +13.50 | −3.94 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 2:00PM ET | Yale @ Holy Cross | −32.46 | — | −21.70 | −15.99 | −23.38 | −19.50 | −3.88 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | VMI @ Davidson | −2.57 | — | +11.60 | −8.14 | +0.30 | −3.50 | +3.80 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Central Arkansas @ SE Missouri St | −3.91 | — | −3.90 | +4.94 | −0.96 | +2.50 | −3.46 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Northern Arizona @ Utah Tech | −20.11 | — | −32.50 | −13.61 | −22.07 | −25.50 | +3.43 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:00PM ET | Central Conn St @ Montana St | +47.11 | — | +45.00 | +39.22 | +43.78 | +40.50 | +3.28 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Brown @ New Haven | −15.73 | — | −5.40 | −16.94 | −12.69 | −9.50 | −3.19 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | McNeese St @ Texas-Rio Grande Val | −4.60 | — | +16.40 | +10.02 | +7.27 | +4.50 | +2.77 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Tennessee St @ Florida A&M | +14.63 | — | +6.70 | +0.12 | +7.15 | +4.50 | +2.65 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Villanova @ LIU | −13.87 | — | −20.40 | −16.84 | −17.04 | −19.50 | +2.46 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | South Carolina St @ Furman | −18.76 | — | −8.40 | −8.32 | −11.83 | −9.50 | −2.33 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Merrimack @ Tarleton St | +33.98 | — | +37.80 | +35.15 | +35.64 | +33.50 | +2.14 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Morehead St @ Western Illinois | +25.35 | — | +8.10 | +19.22 | +17.56 | +19.50 | −1.94 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Dartmouth @ Lehigh | +14.39 | — | +15.50 | +15.13 | +15.01 | +16.50 | −1.49 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Valparaiso @ Indiana St | +27.86 | — | +11.40 | +24.07 | +21.11 | +22.50 | −1.39 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Morgan St @ Towson | +12.37 | — | +6.40 | +11.59 | +10.12 | +11.50 | −1.38 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Youngstown St @ South Dakota St | +10.24 | — | +14.20 | +3.47 | +9.30 | +10.50 | −1.20 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 2:30PM ET | Rhode Island @ Stony Brook | −20.57 | — | −18.50 | −7.69 | −15.59 | −14.50 | −1.09 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word | +6.34 | — | +18.90 | +15.37 | +13.54 | +14.50 | −0.96 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Fordham @ William & Mary | +8.38 | — | +26.90 | +20.72 | +18.67 | +19.50 | −0.83 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Wofford @ Chattanooga | −4.77 | — | +5.70 | −3.99 | −1.02 | −1.50 | +0.48 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:00PM ET | Eastern Illinois @ Illinois St | +32.60 | — | +26.90 | +27.80 | +29.10 | +29.50 | −0.40 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | North Carolina A&T @ Campbell | +19.74 | — | +17.90 | +19.96 | +19.20 | +19.50 | −0.30 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Hampton @ Norfolk St | +12.03 | — | +5.50 | +11.09 | +9.54 | +9.50 | +0.04 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 10:00PM ET | Stetson @ UC-Davis | +43.53 | — | +54.70 | +47.28 | +48.50 | +48.50 | +0.00 | no play |
| — | Monmouth NJ @ Albany NY | −5.53 | — | +0.00 | −8.67 | −4.73 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Princeton @ Bryant | −7.00 | — | +2.20 | −2.54 | −2.45 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Chicago St @ Butler | — | — | +26.30 | +11.40 | +18.85 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Austin Peay @ West Florida | −10.54 | — | −11.30 | −24.13 | −15.32 | — | — | no play |
Coverage note:
TR joined FCS as a 4th vote (2026-08-27, per your call) alongside Keeper + Sagarin + SP+, and 38 of 40 FCS games above are the full 4/4. The 2 still at 3/4 — Samford @ North Alabama, Howard @ Alabama A&M — are genuinely missing Keeper: neither side was marked with the @ home indicator in that week's real Keeper data, so Keeper skipped them rather than guess. Not a bug here, a gap in the source.
|
| Kickoff | Game | Keeper | SP+ | TR | Sagarin | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/19 3:00PM ET | Pennsylvania @ Bucknell | 45.60 | — | 76.30 | — | 60.95 | 47.50 | +13.45 | Over 47.5 |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | San Diego @ Cal Poly SLO | 62.50 | — | 73.50 | — | 68.00 | 56.50 | +11.50 | Over 56.5 |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | North Carolina Centr @ Gardner-Webb | 51.50 | — | 72.10 | — | 61.80 | 50.50 | +11.30 | Over 50.5 |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Tennessee St @ Florida A&M | 47.60 | — | 24.10 | — | 35.85 | 46.50 | −10.65 | Under 46.5 |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | VMI @ Davidson | 48.00 | — | 56.00 | — | 52.00 | 41.50 | +10.50 | Over 41.5 |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Harvard @ New Hampshire | 51.00 | — | 72.10 | — | 61.55 | 51.50 | +10.05 | Over 51.5 |
| Sat 9/19 2:30PM ET | Presbyterian @ Western Carolina | 68.00 | — | 78.20 | — | 73.10 | 63.50 | +9.60 | Over 63.5 |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Brown @ New Haven | 55.40 | — | 61.80 | — | 58.60 | 49.50 | +9.10 | Over 49.5 |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | North Carolina A&T @ Campbell | 59.70 | — | 68.40 | — | 64.05 | 55.50 | +8.55 | Over 55.5 |
| Sat 9/19 2:00PM ET | Yale @ Holy Cross | 48.30 | — | 34.20 | — | 41.25 | 49.50 | −8.25 | Under 49.5 |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Morgan St @ Towson | 52.70 | — | 50.60 | — | 51.65 | 43.50 | +8.15 | Over 43.5 |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Northwestern St @ Weber St | — | — | 62.20 | — | 62.20 | 54.50 | +7.70 | Over 54.5 |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Villanova @ LIU | 47.10 | — | 34.20 | — | 40.65 | 46.50 | −5.85 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Alcorn St @ North Alabama | 54.20 | — | 60.40 | — | 57.30 | 51.50 | +5.80 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | West Georgia @ East Tennessee St | 52.40 | — | 47.20 | — | 49.80 | 54.50 | −4.70 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Fordham @ William & Mary | 46.70 | — | 47.00 | — | 46.85 | 51.50 | −4.65 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Central Arkansas @ SE Missouri St | 53.40 | — | 64.40 | — | 58.90 | 54.50 | +4.40 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Morehead St @ Western Illinois | 60.70 | — | 48.50 | — | 54.60 | 58.50 | −3.90 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Hampton @ Norfolk St | 46.70 | — | 59.50 | — | 53.10 | 49.50 | +3.60 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Stephen F. Austin @ Prairie View A&M | 53.40 | — | 42.80 | — | 48.10 | 51.50 | −3.40 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | Northern Arizona @ Utah Tech | 56.30 | — | 54.90 | — | 55.60 | 52.50 | +3.10 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:30PM ET | Georgetown DC @ Richmond | 43.50 | — | 45.60 | — | 44.55 | 47.50 | −2.95 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Merrimack @ Tarleton St | 56.90 | — | 65.20 | — | 61.05 | 58.50 | +2.55 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Lafayette @ Columbia | 49.80 | — | 47.80 | — | 48.80 | 46.50 | +2.30 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 10:00PM ET | Stetson @ UC-Davis | 57.00 | — | 76.30 | — | 66.65 | 64.50 | +2.15 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:00PM ET | Central Conn St @ Montana St | 52.10 | — | 65.10 | — | 58.60 | 60.50 | −1.90 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 8:00PM ET | McNeese St @ Texas-Rio Grande Val | 57.50 | — | 51.10 | — | 54.30 | 52.50 | +1.80 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Wofford @ Chattanooga | 41.50 | — | 40.30 | — | 40.90 | 42.50 | −1.60 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 2:00PM ET | Southern Utah @ St Thomas MN | 62.10 | — | 55.70 | — | 58.90 | 57.50 | +1.40 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 3:00PM ET | Eastern Illinois @ Illinois St | 50.80 | — | 56.90 | — | 53.85 | 52.50 | +1.35 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Sacred Heart @ Elon | 45.60 | — | 55.70 | — | 50.65 | 49.50 | +1.15 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 4:00PM ET | Abilene Christian @ Idaho | 55.70 | — | 49.10 | — | 52.40 | 53.50 | −1.10 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 6:00PM ET | Dayton @ Eastern Kentucky | 50.90 | — | 36.50 | — | 43.70 | 44.50 | −0.80 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Cornell NY @ Colgate | 51.60 | — | 50.10 | — | 50.85 | 51.50 | −0.65 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Youngstown St @ South Dakota St | 61.50 | — | 56.70 | — | 59.10 | 58.50 | +0.60 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Valparaiso @ Indiana St | 51.00 | — | 57.10 | — | 54.05 | 53.50 | +0.55 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 2:30PM ET | Rhode Island @ Stony Brook | 51.10 | — | 55.30 | — | 53.20 | 53.50 | −0.30 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 12:00PM ET | Dartmouth @ Lehigh | 52.80 | — | 47.90 | — | 50.35 | 50.50 | −0.15 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | South Carolina St @ Furman | 47.80 | — | 49.00 | — | 48.40 | 48.50 | −0.10 | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word | 50.80 | — | 50.20 | — | 50.50 | 50.50 | +0.00 | no play |
| — | Monmouth NJ @ Albany NY | 51.50 | — | 61.90 | — | 56.70 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Princeton @ Bryant | 46.20 | — | 36.40 | — | 41.30 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 9/19 1:00PM ET | Chicago St @ Butler | — | — | 49.50 | — | 49.50 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 9/19 7:00PM ET | Austin Peay @ West Florida | 57.70 | — | 52.50 | — | 55.10 | — | — | no play |
Your best bucket is fully wired now:
Sagarin never publishes a total (spread-only source), but Keeper + SP+ + TR together cover 38 of 40 games above at the full 3/3. The same 2 games missing Keeper (Samford @ North Alabama, Howard @ Alabama A&M) are also missing here, for the same reason — no @ home marker in that week's real Keeper data.
|